trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $998 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 28 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 28 | $964 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $957 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 16 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 16 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 16 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 17 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 17 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Apr 16 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $1,027 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 16 | $961 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 16 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 16 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $940 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Apr 14 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 14 | $911 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local | Apr 14 | $928 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 14 | $947 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 29 | $201 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Mar | Mar 29 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 29 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 24 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 24 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | Mar 24 | $22 | $0 | -0% |