Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:31:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8091…2d5b
crypto · 1100 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$350 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$350 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$350
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses600 / 677
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1277 / 1100
History coverage12d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day253.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1277 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$277
7 days−$265
14 days−$350
30 days−$350
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-26.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 675 -28.8% -35.6% 50% 48% -36.6%
≤30d 1277 -18.3% -26.0% 47% 40% -22.1%
≤90d 1277 -18.3% -26.0% 47% 40% -22.1%
all 1277 -18.3% -26.0% 47% 40% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover253.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.0% 40% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -33.1% 32% -29.5%
15% -39.6% 18% -36.4%
20% -45.5% 6% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.98 · official $5.98 (match) · 3500 history records