Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x8091…f9d2
crypto · 165 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$142 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$142
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses79 / 85
Open positions1
Markets (closed)164 / 165
History coverage10d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day53.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 164 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$123
14 days−$142
30 days−$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $10 $23 +$13 (+127%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$13 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$14 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$21 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$9 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 08 $6 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$140
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -18.9% -26.6% 49% 30% -22.2%
≤30d 164 -17.1% -25.0% 48% 28% -22.4%
≤90d 164 -17.1% -25.0% 48% 28% -22.4%
all 164 -17.1% -25.0% 48% 28% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.0% 28% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.2% 11% -29.8%
15% -38.8% 2% -36.6%
20% -44.8% 1% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.76 · official $23.76 (match) · 625 history records