Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x809b…22a7
crypto · 244 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$591 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$725 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$725
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses122 / 118
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)240 / 244
History coverage33d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days+$13
14 days−$148
30 days−$660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No 57¢ 84¢ $20 $29 +$9 (+47%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 37¢ 27¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? No 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21? No 0¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? No 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$10 -32%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 14 $20 +$16 +78%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 14 $21 +$30 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$3 +278%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$4 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 08 $31 −$17 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 04 $10 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 04 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 04 $26 −$13 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 04 $26 −$16 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 04 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 04 $26 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 04 $27 +$11 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $26 +$12 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 04 $16 −$12 -78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$590
other 9% −$117
world 7% −$11
finance 3% +$14
politics 1% −$27
sports 1% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 2h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 2h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 2h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL No 98¢ $36 7h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? SELL No 86¢ $51 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -0.9% -10.3% 44% 44% +5.9%
≤30d 238 -8.0% -16.8% 51% 45% -26.4%
≤90d 240 -8.3% -17.0% 51% 45% -27.2%
all 240 -8.3% -17.0% 51% 45% -27.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.0% 45% -27.2%
10% -25.0% 35% -34.2%
15% -32.2% 26% -40.5%
20% -38.9% 18% -46.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.76 · official $52.76 (match) · 564 history records