Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80a6…a3e0
sports · 154 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,643 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,645 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$3,645
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses116 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)85%
Est. fees paid−$610
Open positions1
Markets (closed)153 / 154
History coverage32d
Avg bet$724
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,920
7 days−$4,077
14 days−$3,634
30 days−$3,647
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 89¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+12%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 89¢ 0¢ $444 $0 −$444 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 68¢ 0¢ $3,434 $0 −$3,434 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $354 $0 −$354 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 50¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 3¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 84¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner FlyQuest 30¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 82¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 32¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 67¢ 0¢ $1,684 $0 −$1,684 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 NRG 97¢ 0¢ $2,901 $0 −$2,901 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming Junior 2¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner GOAL 19¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 2¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $18 −$2 -11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $107 −$106 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $441 −$336 -76%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $960 −$701 -73%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $387 +$15 +4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $990 +$9 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,079 +$20 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $743 +$7 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $240 −$5 -2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $932 +$67 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $624 −$304 -49%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,095 −$592 -54%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $1,200 +$24 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $461 +$39 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $932 +$24 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $818 +$230 +28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $490 +$9 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $501 +$10 +2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $490 +$9 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $552 −$532 -96%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,609 −$1,512 -94%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $224 −$105 -47%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $221 +$29 +13%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,621 +$159 +10%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $820 +$69 +8%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $445 −$444 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $243 +$7 +3%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $212 +$37 +18%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $456 +$44 +10%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $912 +$68 +8%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $44 +$11 +25%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $235 +$14 +6%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $228 +$22 +10%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $232 +$5 +2%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $1,568 +$123 +8%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 10 $432 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,029 +$30 +3%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $485 +$15 +3%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2,174 +$74 +3%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,961 +$37 +2%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $216 −$45 -21%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $18 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $215 +$32 +15%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $32 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,666 +$54 +3%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $207 +$101 +49%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $74 +$2 +3%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $235 +$14 +6%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $1,457 +$72 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$3,595
world 2% +$99
other 1% −$85
politics 0% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 89¢ $9 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $107 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 10¢ $105 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $441 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 26¢ $259 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 96¢ $72 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 96¢ $791 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 96¢ $14 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 96¢ $84 5h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 98¢ $156 6h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 98¢ $54 6h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 98¢ $12 6h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 98¢ $89 6h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner SELL GenOne 98¢ $90 6h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 95¢ $252 6h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 93¢ $134 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $999 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 99¢ $990 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $1,099 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 98¢ $1,079 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $749 10h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 95¢ $234 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 99¢ $743 10h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 97¢ $34 11h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 97¢ $206 11h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $999 11h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 93¢ $932 12h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 33¢ $320 12h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 63¢ $624 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -2.9% -12.2% 73% 22% -14.7%
≤30d 152 -2.0% -11.4% 76% 29% -12.2%
≤90d 153 -1.9% -11.3% 76% 29% -12.2%
all 153 -1.9% -11.3% 76% 29% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 29% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 13% -20.6%
15% -27.5% 5% -28.2%
20% -34.6% 4% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.99 · official $9.99 (match) · 657 history records