Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80ab…34f5
crypto · 590 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses556 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)590 / 590
History coverage11d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day56.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 590 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$2
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 373 -0.4% -9.9% 94% 3% -9.8%
≤30d 590 +0.2% -9.4% 94% 4% -9.5%
≤90d 590 +0.2% -9.4% 94% 4% -9.5%
all 590 +0.2% -9.4% 94% 4% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 4% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1194 history records