Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:58:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80ad…6881
crypto · 904 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$256 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$522 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$522
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses384 / 520
Open positions0
Markets (closed)904 / 904
History coverage21d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day82.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 904 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$473
14 days−$449
30 days−$522
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$8 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$5 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$8 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$522
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 -14.9% -23.0% 40% 37% -20.5%
≤30d 904 -10.6% -19.1% 42% 41% -16.8%
≤90d 904 -10.6% -19.1% 42% 41% -16.8%
all 904 -10.6% -19.1% 42% 41% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 41% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 40% -24.8%
15% -33.9% 37% -32.0%
20% -40.4% 34% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2020 history records