trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +171.2% | +145.3% | 83% | 83% | +129.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +100.1% | +81.0% | 77% | 77% | +103.8% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +66.2% | +50.4% | 81% | 57% | +90.1% |
| all | 27 | +52.1% | +37.7% | 85% | 44% | +88.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +37.7% | 44% | +88.5% |
| 10% | +24.5% | 44% | +70.5% |
| 15% | +12.5% | 41% | +54.0% |
| 20% | +1.4% | 33% | +38.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Over | 53¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Over | 53¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5) | FURIA | 60¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 14¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner | FURIA | 10¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | +$54 | +106% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 21 | $36 | +$256 | +712% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo | Jun 21 | $102 | +$192 | +188% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez | Jun 09 | $203 | +$175 | +86% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | May 26 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | May 26 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | May 26 | $2 | +$3 | +152% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 26 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 02 | $3 | $0 | +10% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | Apr 21 | $182 | +$170 | +93% |
| Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5 | Apr 17 | $100 | +$82 | +82% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will XRP reach $2.40 in March? | Apr 14 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | Mar 10 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Mar 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | Mar 10 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Solana reach $190 in February? | Mar 10 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | Jan 22 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: December | Jan 22 | $1 | $0 | +1% |