Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:48:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80e3…3fcb
crypto · 486 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$175 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$180 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$479
Realized+$180
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses484 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)485 / 486
History coverage51d
Avg bet$144
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 485 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$61
14 days+$37
30 days+$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of June 8 2026? No 100¢ 98¢ $484 $479 −$5 (-1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 12, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $34 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 12, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,400 on June 12, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 12, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 12, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 12, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 12, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $34 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 12, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 12, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 12, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $33 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $33 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $32 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 12, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $32 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 8AM ET? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 11 $31 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on June 11? Jun 11 $17 $0 +0%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 11? Jun 11 $381 $0 +0%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on June 11? Jun 11 $79 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 11, 3PM ET? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 11, 3PM ET? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 11, 3PM ET? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 11, 3PM ET? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 10, 11PM ET? Jun 11 $160 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 10, 11PM ET? Jun 11 $144 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 10, 11PM ET? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,610 on June 10, 11PM ET? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 10, 10PM ET? Jun 11 $46 $0 +0%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $407 +$1 +0%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $69 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $265 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $211 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 9, 11PM ET? Jun 10 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 9, 11PM ET? Jun 10 $115 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 9, 10PM ET? Jun 10 $146 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 9, 10PM ET? Jun 10 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 9, 10PM ET? Jun 10 $54 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% +$99
other 18% +$37
sports 6% +$26
tech 4% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $42 1h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 100¢ $222 1h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 99¢ $220 1h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 12, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $34 3h
Bitcoin above 65,400 on June 12, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 3h
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 12, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 3h
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 12, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 3h
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 12, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $34 3h
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 12, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 4h
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 4h
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 12, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 4h
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 12PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $33 5h
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 12, 12PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 5h
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 12, 12PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 5h
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 12, 12PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 5h
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $33 5h
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $50 5h
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $50 5h
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $50 5h
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 6h
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 6h
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 6h
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 6h
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 6h
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 11AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 6h
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $32 7h
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 7h
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 7h
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 7h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $32 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 310 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 485 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 485 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $478.72 · official $478.72 (match) · 1154 history records