trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 25% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 29% | 0% | -14.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 29% | 0% | -14.8% |
| all | 27 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 56% | 4% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 4% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 4% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 4% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 4% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 53¢ | 54¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $27 | −$1 | -3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $28 | +$2 | +6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $29 | −$13 | -46% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 26 | $4 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City | Apr 06 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 05 | $37 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31? | Apr 05 | $16 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28? | Mar 28 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 28 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Betsy DeVos be a member of the Trump administration? | Mar 26 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 26 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? | Mar 20 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or below on March 18? | Mar 18 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14? | Mar 17 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14? | Mar 12 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 12 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 7? | Mar 11 | $19 | +$1 | +3% |
| Another commercial airline evacuation before March? | Mar 06 | $18 | +$1 | +3% |
| Oral Roberts vs. Denver | Mar 04 | $10 | +$9 | +96% |