Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:48:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80f1…3ccd
other · 7 markets active 0h ago
10.0score
+$1,185 +30%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$595 · open +$590
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$786
Realized+$595
Unrealized+$590
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage24d
Avg bet$563
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$462
7 days+$462
14 days+$615
30 days+$595
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 10¢ 60¢ $100 $605 +$505 (+505%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 48¢ 90¢ $96 $181 +$85 (+89%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,260 +$459 +36%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 11 $192 +$1 +0%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Jun 11 $1,039 +$2 +0%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $147 +$153 +104%
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? May 19 $1,105 −$20 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 54% −$18
other 42% +$1,050
sports 4% +$153
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 10¢ $103 6m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $97 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 95¢ $716 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 95¢ $1,004 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $1,260 25h
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $192 25h
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $1,041 25h
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $1,039 12d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 96¢ $192 12d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY No 49¢ $147 13d
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? SELL Yes 87¢ $1,085 23d
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? BUY Yes 88¢ $1,105 23d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +12.3% +1.6% 100% 33% +7.3%
≤30d 5 +27.9% +15.7% 80% 40% +4.8%
≤90d 5 +27.9% +15.7% 80% 40% +4.8%
all 5 +27.9% +15.7% 80% 40% +4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.7% 40% +4.8%
10% +4.6% 40% -5.2%
15% -5.5% 40% -14.3%
20% -14.8% 20% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $786.00 · official $786.00 (match) · 13 history records