Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

80
0x80f2…3484
crypto · 888 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,221 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses425 / 462
Open positions1
Markets (closed)887 / 888
History coverage4d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day699.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 887 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$464
7 days−$85
14 days−$85
30 days−$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 65¢ 55¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 37¢ 46¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$14 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$31 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $67 +$14 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $65 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$23 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $118 −$26 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$19 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$8 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$12 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$21 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $155 +$37 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $53 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$16 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$14 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$13 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$12 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $93 +$22 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$15 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$18 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $14 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $19 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $24 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $16 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $27 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $24 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $28 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $16 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $23 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 887 -2.4% -11.7% 48% 43% -9.9%
≤30d 887 -2.4% -11.7% 48% 43% -9.9%
≤90d 887 -2.4% -11.7% 48% 43% -9.9%
all 887 -2.4% -11.7% 48% 43% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover699.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 43% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 37% -18.5%
15% -27.9% 31% -26.4%
20% -34.9% 23% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.75 · official $30.81 (match) · 3500 history records