trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 60% | 20% | -7.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 62% | 12% | -11.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 67% | 22% | -11.4% |
| all | 22 | -5.8% | -14.7% | 73% | 18% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.7% | 18% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 5% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 24¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 11 | $9 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 11 | $33 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jun 11 | $129 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $194 | +$6 | +3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 11 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 02 | $78 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | Jun 02 | $118 | +$2 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 23 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | May 02 | $7 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Feb 23 | $222 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 05 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 1 | Feb 05 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Feb 05 | $26 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17? | Feb 05 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? | Feb 05 | $264 | +$2 | +1% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | Jan 17 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 8? | Jan 09 | $226 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 08 | $201 | +$25 | +12% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Oct 19 | $23 | +$1 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Oct 19 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | Oct 19 | $2 | +$1 | +25% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 11PM ET | Oct 19 | $30 | $0 | +1% |