trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 43% | 14% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 59% | 12% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 59% | 12% | -8.6% |
| all | 29 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 69% | 14% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 14% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 50¢ | $31 | $33 | +$2 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 24 | $41 | $0 | -1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $54 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $128 | +$1 | +1% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 21 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 16 | $29 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 11 | $38 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 09 | $17 | +$2 | +14% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 06 | $70 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Dec 19 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend? | Mar 25 | $13 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? | Mar 19 | $1 | −$1 | -60% |
| India wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics? | Mar 17 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 13 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 12 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 11 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hornets | Mar 07 | $13 | +$1 | +4% |