Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:56:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
81 0x8135…6a0f crypto 785 markets active 1h ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$14 (+2%) realized +$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate67%526W / 259L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day89.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$5
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 +53.3% +38.7% 57% 50% -6.8%
≤30d 785 +19.6% +8.2% 67% 57% -9.3%
≤90d 785 +19.6% +8.2% 67% 57% -9.3%
all 785 +19.6% +8.2% 67% 57% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.2% 57% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -2.1% 41% -18.0%
15% -11.6% 26% -25.9%
20% -20.2% 10% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +20% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late +31% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses526 / 259
Open positions0
Markets (closed)785 / 785
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day89.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 785 Trades
no open positions (86 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.15 · official $0.00 · 1564 history records