trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 33% | 33% | -3.9% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +27.4% | +15.3% | 44% | 44% | +6.8% |
| ≤90d | 55 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 40% | 40% | -6.1% |
| all | 116 | +5.5% | -4.5% | 51% | 51% | -3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.5% | 51% | -3.4% |
| 10% | -13.7% | 51% | -12.6% |
| 15% | -22.0% | 47% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -29.7% | 46% | -28.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $102 | +$138 | +136% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $77 | −$75 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $153 | +$382 | +250% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $123 | −$120 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $123 | +$306 | +250% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 13 | $306 | −$285 | -93% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $152 | +$167 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $102 | +$168 | +165% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $102 | +$142 | +140% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $224 | −$220 | -98% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 09 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $72 | +$220 | +307% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 04 | $305 | +$393 | +129% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $92 | −$90 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $71 | −$70 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 04 | $127 | −$125 | -98% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | May 03 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) | May 03 | $98 | +$72 | +73% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $130 | +$198 | +152% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $153 | +$213 | +139% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $250 | +$444 | +178% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $75 | −$75 | -100% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5 | Apr 26 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | Apr 26 | $50 | +$36 | +73% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $75 | +$62 | +82% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $50 | −$41 | -82% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $100 | +$165 | +165% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5 | Apr 25 | $80 | +$70 | +87% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5 | Apr 25 | $87 | −$87 | -100% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | Apr 24 | $50 | +$37 | +73% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5 | Apr 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 23 | $46 | −$45 | -97% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $50 | +$90 | +180% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $100 | +$123 | +123% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5 | Apr 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 28.5 | Apr 18 | $50 | +$35 | +70% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 16 | $53 | +$45 | +86% |