Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x8162…7435
other · 1235 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$177 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$177 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$177
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1105 / 130
Est. fees paid−$105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1235 / 1235
History coverage86d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day34.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 0 History 1235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$205
14 days+$1,431
30 days+$1,296
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-02? No 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-01? No 99¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels 94¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02? Yes 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03? No 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03? No 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Golden Knights Ducks 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-05-02? No 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Angels 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees Texas Rangers 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Knicks Knicks 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Wild vs. Avalanche Wild 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1,030 $0 −$1,030 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Cleveland Guardians 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Cleveland Guardians 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? Yes 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-05-02? No 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks San Diego Padres 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? No 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: OC Safi 2 - 2 Kawkab AC? Jun 12 $55 $0 +1%
Son Heungmin: 3+ Goals Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $49 $0 +1%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $53 +$1 +2%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 3 - 1 Landskrona BoIS? Jun 11 $52 +$1 +2%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 Jun 11 $51 $0 +1%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 10 $50 +$1 +3%
Malawi leading at halftime? Jun 09 $26 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Ethiopia 3 - 3 Malawi? Jun 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Exact Score: China PR 3 - 2 Thailand? Jun 09 $34 +$1 +2%
Hong Kong SAR leading at halftime? Jun 09 $49 +$1 +3%
Thailand leading at halftime? Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $33 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Peru 2 - 3 Spain? Jun 09 $33 $0 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5 Jun 09 $32 $0 +1%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $32 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Niger 2 - 0 Mauritania? Jun 08 $32 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: RS Berkane 1 - 2 IR Tanger? Jun 08 $31 $0 +1%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5 Jun 08 $31 +$1 +2%
Spread: Ukraine (-2.5) Jun 08 $30 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Liechtenstein 2 - 2 Cyprus? Jun 07 $30 $0 +2%
Ōita Trinita vs. Montedio Yamagata: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $29 $0 +1%
Spread: Tochigi SC (-2.5) Jun 07 $29 $0 +1%
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. FC Imabari: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $29 +$1 +2%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 07 $5 $0 +1%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $28 $0 +1%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 07 $5 $0 +1%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 07 $27 +$1 +3%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 07 $27 +$1 +3%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Jun 06 $5 $0 +1%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $26 +$1 +2%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $26 $0 +2%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 06 $25 $0 +1%
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) Jun 06 $25 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 El Salvador? Jun 06 $25 $0 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $24 +$1 +3%
Spread: Luxembourg (-2.5) Jun 06 $23 +$1 +3%
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $23 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Sierra Leone 3 - 0 Liberia? Jun 06 $23 $0 +1%
Will Malawi win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $22 +$1 +3%
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5) Jun 06 $22 $0 +1%
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $22 +$1 +3%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $21 $0 +2%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $21 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% +$1,129
other 47% −$240
politics 3% −$1,030
world 1% +$14
crypto 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: OC Safi 2 - 2 Kawkab AC? SELL No 100¢ $50 1h
Exact Score: OC Safi 2 - 2 Kawkab AC? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: OC Safi 2 - 2 Kawkab AC? BUY No 99¢ $55 2h
Son Heungmin: 3+ Goals SELL No 100¢ $10 14h
Son Heungmin: 3+ Goals BUY No 99¢ $10 16h
Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $45 16h
Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 16h
Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 99¢ $49 19h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) SELL Chicago Cubs 100¢ $5 20h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 99¢ $5 22h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 100¢ $54 22h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 97¢ $15 23h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 98¢ $38 23h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 SELL Under 100¢ $15 23h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 99¢ $10 23h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 23h
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 3 - 1 Landskrona BoIS? SELL No 100¢ $48 23h
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 3 - 1 Landskrona BoIS? SELL No 100¢ $5 23h
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 3 - 1 Landskrona BoIS? BUY No 98¢ $52 25h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5) SELL Houston Astros 100¢ $5 39h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5) BUY Houston Astros 99¢ $5 39h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 SELL Over 100¢ $52 39h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 BUY Over 99¢ $51 40h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Philadelphia Phillies 100¢ $52 40h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 97¢ $45 41h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 97¢ $5 41h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 SELL Under 100¢ $45 41h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 41h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 99¢ $50 42h
Malawi leading at halftime? SELL No 100¢ $26 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -1.6% -11.0% 97% 0% -14.9%
≤30d 275 -0.6% -10.0% 97% 0% -2.9%
≤90d 1235 -6.0% -15.0% 89% 3% -10.0%
all 1235 -6.0% -15.0% 89% 3% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 3% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 0% -18.6%
15% -30.5% 0% -26.4%
20% -37.4% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3176 history records