Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:48:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
81 0x8164…bf34 crypto 1807 markets active 12h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$40 (+1%) realized +$40 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate83%1587W / 316L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day54.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$196
7 days−$185
14 days−$177
30 days−$179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$27
other 0% −$1
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 555 -17.0% -24.9% 72% 33% -27.6%
≤30d 1597 -6.0% -14.9% 82% 42% -15.2%
≤90d 1903 -4.7% -13.7% 83% 45% -13.7%
all 1903 -4.7% -13.7% 83% 45% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 45% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 5% -22.0%
15% -29.5% 0% -29.5%
20% -36.4% 0% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1587 / 316
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1903 / 1807
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1903 Trades
no open positions (287 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $0 −$3 -3153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO5) - The International South America BUY LGD Gaming 92¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records