Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:16:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x816e…5b62
crypto · 1127 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$69
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses845 / 272
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1117 / 1127
History coverage13d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day162.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 10 History 1117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$16
14 days−$69
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ 60¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 49¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 60¢ 57¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 24¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-57%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+150%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+144%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+133%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Barcelona 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+61%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+88%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+88%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 51¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -70%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $4 +$4 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -16%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -60%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -17%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $4 +$3 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -20%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +51%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$56
sports 16% +$13
other 15% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 100¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 50¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 73¢ $6 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 65¢ $5 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Qatar 59¢ $5 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) SELL Qatar 82¢ $5 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 62¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL San Diego Padres 77¢ $6 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 62¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 705 +16.1% +5.0% 71% 60% -10.4%
≤30d 1117 +7.8% -2.5% 76% 45% -12.6%
≤90d 1117 +7.8% -2.5% 76% 45% -12.6%
all 1117 +7.8% -2.5% 76% 45% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover162.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 45% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -11.8% 18% -20.9%
15% -20.3% 10% -28.6%
20% -28.1% 6% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.86 · official $21.35 · 2494 history records