Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:28:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x8171…7157
crypto · 169 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses104 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)169 / 169
History coverage25d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$78
7 days+$117
14 days+$86
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $48 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $47 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $108 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $64 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -0.3% -9.8% 68% 44% -5.0%
≤30d 169 -6.2% -15.2% 62% 44% -9.5%
≤90d 169 -6.2% -15.2% 62% 44% -9.5%
all 169 -6.2% -15.2% 62% 44% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.2% 44% -9.5%
10% -23.3% 30% -18.1%
15% -30.7% 24% -26.0%
20% -37.5% 19% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 416 history records