Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x8174…be40
crypto · 1572 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$906 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$907 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$907
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1175 / 605
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1780 / 1572
History coverage39d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day80.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1780 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$802
7 days−$822
14 days−$954
30 days−$826
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% +$166
other 22% −$161
finance 6% −$37
economics 2% −$3
sports 1% −$1
weather 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 8m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 60¢ $118 9m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 61¢ $122 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 629 -36.1% -42.2% 43% 42% -27.5%
≤30d 1341 -14.5% -22.6% 63% 62% -18.2%
≤90d 1780 -12.5% -20.9% 66% 62% -17.4%
all 1780 -12.5% -20.9% 66% 62% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.9% 62% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.4% 36% -25.3%
15% -35.4% 10% -32.5%
20% -41.7% 4% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.82 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records