Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

81
0x81ae…9a1f
crypto · 1081 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$126 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$251 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$251
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses699 / 381
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1080 / 1081
History coverage12d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day150.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1080 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$230
14 days−$251
30 days−$251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$236
sports 9% −$13
world 0% −$2
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 694 -12.4% -20.7% 58% 45% -18.3%
≤30d 1080 -8.0% -16.8% 65% 41% -13.2%
≤90d 1080 -8.0% -16.8% 65% 41% -13.2%
all 1080 -8.0% -16.8% 65% 41% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover150.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 41% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 33% -21.5%
15% -32.0% 25% -29.1%
20% -38.7% 17% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2270 history records