trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -18.7% | -26.5% | 39% | 39% | -19.7% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -24.0% | -31.2% | 39% | 36% | -25.8% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -29.0% | -35.8% | 37% | 33% | -64.6% |
| all | 78 | -24.4% | -31.6% | 46% | 45% | -47.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.6% | 45% | -47.3% |
| 10% | -38.1% | 33% | -52.3% |
| 15% | -44.1% | 28% | -56.9% |
| 20% | -49.6% | 18% | -61.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 35¢ | 56¢ | $5 | $8 | +$3 (+59%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+12%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 17¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 15¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$3 | -66% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$2 | +80% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $3 | −$1 | -31% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$6 | -62% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$4 | +14% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $8 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $2 | +$3 | +138% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks | May 22 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 22 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 21 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 21 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | May 21 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 19 | $10 | +$6 | +60% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5 | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Shanxi Loongs vs. Qingdao Eagles | May 02 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Mar 15 | $3 | +$3 | +89% |
| Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducks | Mar 15 | $5 | +$1 | +27% |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks | Mar 15 | $5 | +$2 | +30% |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | Mar 15 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shanxi Loongs | Mar 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | Mar 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Mar 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Lakers | Mar 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Thunder | Mar 08 | $10 | +$2 | +19% |
| Clippers vs. Spurs | Mar 08 | $3 | +$1 | +37% |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Mar 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | Mar 07 | $3 | +$1 | +41% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Mar 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Heat | Mar 06 | $5 | +$1 | +15% |
| Mavericks vs. Magic | Mar 06 | $6 | +$2 | +28% |
| Pistons vs. Spurs | Mar 06 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Mar 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Suns | Mar 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 202 | Feb 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026 | Feb 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |