Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:38:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
81 0x81c9…94cd crypto 699 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1084 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,620 (-17%) realized −$1,620 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate76%532W / 167L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day1084.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1084 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 699 -1.4% -10.8% 76% 1% -10.0%
≤30d 699 -1.4% -10.8% 76% 1% -10.0%
≤90d 699 -1.4% -10.8% 76% 1% -10.0%
all 699 -1.4% -10.8% 76% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1084.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 1% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 1% -18.6%
15% -27.1% 0% -26.4%
20% -34.3% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,620
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses532 / 167
Open positions0
Markets (closed)699 / 699
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1084.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 699 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records