Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:01:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x8226…82f2
crypto · 18 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses12 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day60.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65
7 days−$65
14 days−$65
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$12 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$13 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$14 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -6.2% -15.2% 67% 61% -24.3%
≤30d 18 -6.2% -15.2% 67% 61% -24.3%
≤90d 18 -6.2% -15.2% 67% 61% -24.3%
all 18 -6.2% -15.2% 67% 61% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 61% -24.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 39% -31.6%
15% -30.7% 17% -38.2%
20% -37.5% 6% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 79 history records