Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x8231…c02e
crypto · 438 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$912 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$919 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$919
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses262 / 174
Open positions2
Markets (closed)436 / 438
History coverage2d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day1660.3
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 436 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$919
7 days+$919
14 days+$919
30 days+$919
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 39¢ 40¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$13 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$48 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $213 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$80 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$18 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $107 +$60 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$13 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$38 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $299 +$18 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $190 +$25 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $162 −$125 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$82 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $222 +$46 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $138 +$62 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$12 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$16 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$13 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$27 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$912
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $17 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $15 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $14 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $18 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $16 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $14 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $14 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $18 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 436 -0.1% -9.6% 60% 44% -7.0%
≤30d 436 -0.1% -9.6% 60% 44% -7.0%
≤90d 436 -0.1% -9.6% 60% 44% -7.0%
all 436 -0.1% -9.6% 60% 44% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1660.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 44% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 31% -15.9%
15% -26.1% 23% -24.0%
20% -33.4% 15% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.20 · official $15.20 · 3500 history records