trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 50% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 50% | 0% | -8.8% |
| all | 29 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 34% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $36 | $36 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $45 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 02 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 31 | $32 | +$1 | +4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 30 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 30 | $34 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 29 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 24 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 28 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 21 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 20 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16? | May 10 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | May 10 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | May 10 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | May 09 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 08 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | May 08 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the | May 07 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government? | May 07 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Playboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200? | Mar 23 | $13 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 21 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 19 | $15 | −$3 | -17% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 10 | $15 | $0 | -0% |