Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x8256…3e45
sports · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$144 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$133 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$133
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses16 / 19
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)35 / 36
History coverage59d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$92
14 days−$92
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $43 −$33 -76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$8 +22%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $65 −$30 -46%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $65 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $67 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $54 +$11 +20%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $28 −$10 -35%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$11 +71%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -79%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 15 $120 −$106 -88%
Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Apr 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Apr 14 $102 +$27 +27%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $20 +$14 +70%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Apr 14 $42 +$26 +62%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Apr 14 $39 +$14 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Apr 14 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Apr 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Apr 14 $2 +$9 +453%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Apr 14 $1 +$1 +134%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $1 $0 +36%
BNB Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Apr 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$130
crypto 11% −$4
other 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 60¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 18¢ $11 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $22 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $21 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $43 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $36 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 44¢ $36 7h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 79¢ $65 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 85¢ $65 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 84¢ $65 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $65 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 94¢ $62 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 8¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 21¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner SELL Wanted Goons 99¢ $65 18h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner BUY Wanted Goons 82¢ $54 18h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 78¢ $44 33h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 0¢ $1 34h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $26 35h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 57¢ $15 35h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL BetBoom Team 27¢ $4 35h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $5 35h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $3 36h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 66¢ $18 36h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 89¢ $25 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -19.6% -27.3% 46% 31% -28.7%
≤30d 13 -19.6% -27.3% 46% 31% -28.7%
≤90d 35 -11.7% -20.1% 46% 40% -24.6%
all 35 -11.7% -20.1% 46% 40% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 40% -24.6%
10% -27.8% 34% -31.8%
15% -34.8% 29% -38.4%
20% -41.2% 23% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 88 history records