Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:22:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x8273…42b1
crypto · 701 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,058 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,058 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,058
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses687 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)701 / 701
History coverage2d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day1300.7
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 701 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,769
7 days+$2,058
14 days+$2,058
30 days+$2,058
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $510 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1,883 +$19 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $673 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1,410 +$35 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $304 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $211 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $508 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4,479 +$59 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $159 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $523 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $445 +$7 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $188 +$12 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $394 +$6 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $215 −$215 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $233 −$233 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $342 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $503 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,115 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $126 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,058
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $45 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $196 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $55 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $151 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $103 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $116 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $221 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $221 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $185 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $148 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $78 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $78 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $133 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $78 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $78 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $133 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $78 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $78 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 701 +0.3% -9.2% 98% 3% -8.1%
≤30d 701 +0.3% -9.2% 98% 3% -8.1%
≤90d 701 +0.3% -9.2% 98% 3% -8.1%
all 701 +0.3% -9.2% 98% 3% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1300.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 3% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 1% -16.9%
15% -25.8% 0% -24.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records