trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 14% | 14% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -18.6% | -26.3% | 30% | 20% | +34.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -18.6% | -26.3% | 30% | 20% | +34.1% |
| all | 17 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 41% | 35% | +72.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.7% | 35% | +72.4% |
| 10% | -7.1% | 35% | +55.9% |
| 15% | -16.1% | 35% | +40.8% |
| 20% | -24.3% | 35% | +27.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $3,342 | $3,061 | −$281 (-8%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $2,550 | $2,675 | +$125 (+5%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $1,943 | $2,358 | +$414 (+21%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1,084 | $1,054 | −$30 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $164 | −$161 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $16 | −$16 | -97% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $2,573 | −$49 | -2% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $12 | −$3 | -27% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: Neither team to score first? | Jun 15 | $106 | −$103 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $1,020 | −$1,005 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $582 | +$1,299 | +223% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | May 27 | $7,188 | +$8,294 | +115% |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | May 25 | $4,726 | +$205 | +4% |
| Will Trump attend his son's wedding? | May 24 | $396 | −$382 | -96% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13? | Feb 13 | $3,991 | +$15,387 | +386% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Feb 13 | $500 | +$400 | +80% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Feb 13 | $185 | +$288 | +156% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Feb 13 | $510 | +$480 | +94% |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-02-12? | Feb 12 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13? | Feb 12 | $1,571 | −$1,571 | -100% |
| Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? | Feb 12 | $460 | −$460 | -100% |