Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:52:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82a1…7526
crypto · 4 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-33.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -26.2% -33.3% 50% 50% -9.2%
≤30d 4 -26.2% -33.3% 50% 50% -9.2%
≤90d 4 -26.2% -33.3% 50% 50% -9.2%
all 4 -26.2% -33.3% 50% 50% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.3% 50% -9.2%
10% -39.7% 25% -17.9%
15% -45.5% 0% -25.8%
20% -50.8% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 14 history records