Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:24:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82c5…6de5
crypto · 787 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$249 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$333 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$333
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses711 / 75
Open positions1
Markets (closed)786 / 787
History coverage6d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day228.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 1 History 786 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$333
14 days−$333
30 days−$333
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 87¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -33%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -33%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -35%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$325
other 24% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 46m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 786 -3.1% -12.3% 90% 7% -11.2%
≤30d 786 -3.1% -12.3% 90% 7% -11.2%
≤90d 786 -3.1% -12.3% 90% 7% -11.2%
all 786 -3.1% -12.3% 90% 7% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover228.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 7% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 1% -19.7%
15% -28.4% 0% -27.4%
20% -35.4% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $1.11 (match) · 1941 history records