Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:40:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82cc…7172
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$10 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses4 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$5 +54%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 +$6 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% +$9
sports 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 43h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 43h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 27¢ $5 43h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 43h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $27 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $15 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +7.7% -2.6% 50% 50% +1.8%
≤30d 8 +7.7% -2.6% 50% 50% +1.8%
≤90d 8 +7.7% -2.6% 50% 50% +1.8%
all 8 +7.7% -2.6% 50% 50% +1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.6% 50% +1.8%
10% -11.9% 50% -8.0%
15% -20.4% 50% -16.9%
20% -28.2% 38% -25.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 14 history records