trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 38% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 27 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 41% | 4% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 4% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 4% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 4% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 4% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 20 | $120 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $35 | −$1 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 25 | $34 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $18 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $9 | −$1 | -14% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 04 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 04 | $21 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Raiders make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can | Apr 02 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 01 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $15 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 28 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in March? | Mar 26 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 26 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 25 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 46°F or below on March 24? | Mar 25 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall | Mar 22 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 20 | $3 | −$1 | -19% |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | Mar 20 | $7 | +$5 | +71% |