trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -15.8% | -23.8% | 62% | 6% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 68% | 4% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 68% | 4% | -11.0% |
| all | 25 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 68% | 4% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.3% | 4% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -26.1% | 4% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -33.2% | 4% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -39.8% | 4% | -34.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%? | Yes | 96¢ | 95¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $66 | $67 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | $48 | $48 | +$0 (+1%) |
| GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 84¢ | 92¢ | $42 | $46 | +$4 (+10%) |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $45 | $45 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | $23 | $24 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 68¢ | $14 | $13 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Yes | 14¢ | 10¢ | $4 | $3 | −$1 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 3 Uruguay? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$1 | -21% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 14 | $17 | +$11 | +65% |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? | Jun 12 | $71 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $55 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $69 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $71 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10? | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju | Jun 11 | $161 | −$14 | -8% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $54 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $85 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 9? | Jun 10 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 9? | Jun 10 | $74 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6? | Jun 08 | $56 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? | Jun 08 | $63 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $82 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 6? | Jun 07 | $78 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings? | Jun 03 | $100 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3? | Jun 03 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 25 | $1,305 | −$16 | -1% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 19 | $2,014 | −$65 | -3% |