Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:20:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82f2…b5e8
sports · 57 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,128 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,129 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$3,129
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses33 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$433
Open positions2
Markets (closed)55 / 57
History coverage34d
Avg bet$680
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$510
7 days−$610
14 days−$584
30 days−$3,182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 83¢ 91¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+10%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 87¢ 88¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Dplus KIA 26¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 30¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 31¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 44¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 51¢ 0¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Weibo Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 34¢ 0¢ $255 $0 −$255 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Dplus KIA 21¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 13¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 72¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Bilibili Gaming 85¢ 0¢ $1,020 $0 −$1,020 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $990 −$510 -52%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $990 +$10 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,565 −$120 -8%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $990 +$10 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $1,013 −$13 -1%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $1,024 −$1 -0%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $990 +$10 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $980 +$20 +2%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Cont Jun 01 $8 +$2 +22%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 31 $10 $0 +4%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 31 $8 +$2 +18%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $990 +$10 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $1,004 −$4 -0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $1,000 $0 +0%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $1,030 −$30 -3%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $72 −$72 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $1,188 +$12 +1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $970 −$210 -22%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $990 −$260 -26%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 24 $513 +$87 +17%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $542 −$192 -35%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 24 $158 +$42 +27%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 23 $900 $0 +0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi May 22 $582 −$90 -16%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 22 $855 −$357 -42%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers May 22 $378 −$22 -6%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 21 $728 −$255 -35%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 21 $397 −$98 -24%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 21 $475 −$155 -33%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner May 21 $239 −$218 -91%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 21 $1,113 +$170 +15%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 21 $234 +$266 +114%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 21 $241 +$13 +6%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Q May 21 $1,020 −$1,020 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $990 +$10 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 20 $194 +$6 +3%
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? May 19 $18 +$2 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Kor May 19 $997 +$3 +0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 19 $198 +$2 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 18 $1,185 +$15 +1%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 17 $742 +$8 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 17 $980 +$20 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner May 17 $200 $0 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 16 $1,000 $0 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 16 $148 +$2 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 15 $688 +$17 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 15 $990 −$300 -30%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 14 $992 +$8 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 13 $199 −$9 -4%
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 13 $990 +$10 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$3,135
tech 0% +$5
other 0% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $999 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $480 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 51¢ $457 18h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 51¢ $53 18h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 22¢ $220 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 77¢ $770 4d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 26¢ $25 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 52¢ $520 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Dplus KIA 52¢ $380 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Dplus KIA 52¢ $5 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Dplus KIA 52¢ $50 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Dplus KIA 52¢ $85 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 52¢ $527 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $517 6d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 30¢ $296 6d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 30¢ $4 6d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 69¢ $690 6d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 12¢ $123 8d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 89¢ $890 8d
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $471 9d
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $12 9d
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $12 9d
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $23 9d
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $435 9d
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $4 9d
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $4 9d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $9 9d
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY EDward Gaming 7¢ $72 9d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 48¢ $480 10d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 51¢ $510 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-25.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -26.4% -33.4% 50% 0% -23.1%
≤30d 48 -20.6% -28.2% 56% 15% -19.4%
≤90d 55 -18.0% -25.8% 60% 13% -17.7%
all 55 -18.0% -25.8% 60% 13% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.8% 13% -17.7%
10% -32.9% 4% -25.6%
15% -39.4% 2% -32.8%
20% -45.3% 2% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.85 · official $17.85 (match) · 346 history records