Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:22:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82f7…d6c8
crypto · 14 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$77 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$77 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses8 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day41.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days−$77
14 days−$77
30 days−$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$12 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $7 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -11.5% -19.9% 57% 50% -43.2%
≤30d 14 -11.5% -19.9% 57% 50% -43.2%
≤90d 14 -11.5% -19.9% 57% 50% -43.2%
all 14 -11.5% -19.9% 57% 50% -43.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 50% -43.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 50% -48.6%
15% -34.6% 43% -53.6%
20% -41.0% 29% -58.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 42 history records