Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:21:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

82
0x82fe…a94b
crypto · 1585 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$11 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1392 / 193
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1585 / 1585
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day202.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 1585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$4
other 11% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 853 +0.8% -8.8% 90% 7% -10.0%
≤30d 1585 +1.5% -8.2% 88% 10% -9.6%
≤90d 1585 +1.5% -8.2% 88% 10% -9.6%
all 1585 +1.5% -8.2% 88% 10% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover202.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 10% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.0% 0% -26.1%
20% -32.3% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records