Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x830b…075f
crypto · 1057 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$742 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$405 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$405
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses588 / 468
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1056 / 1057
History coverage44d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day56.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 1056 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$56
14 days+$56
30 days+$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+37%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$385
other 1% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 222 +8.6% -1.8% 79% 79% -0.6%
≤30d 222 +8.6% -1.8% 79% 79% -0.6%
≤90d 1056 -14.1% -22.3% 56% 50% -15.1%
all 1056 -14.1% -22.3% 56% 50% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 50% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 36% -23.2%
15% -36.5% 22% -30.6%
20% -42.7% 8% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.86 · official $11.71 · 3500 history records