Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8320…904e
crypto · 277 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$31,564 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28,587 · open −$2,864
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6,494
Realized−$28,587
Unrealized−$2,864
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses213 / 386
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Open positions5
Markets (closed)599 / 277
Avg bet$661
Trades / day935.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 599 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32,487
7 days−$28,587
14 days−$28,587
30 days−$28,587
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 95¢ 96¢ $2,352 $2,369 +$17 (+1%)
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes 43¢ 16¢ $4,460 $1,625 −$2,835 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $982 $1,040 +$58 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $265 $494 +$230 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 44¢ 42¢ $485 $467 −$18 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 47¢ 57¢ $216 $264 +$48 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 67¢ 92¢ $87 $119 +$32 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $54 $91 +$37 (+68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 19¢ 8¢ $47 $21 −$27 (-56%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? No 6¢ 0¢ $51 $2 −$49 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 17¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $570 −$570 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$62 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $266 −$78 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET Jun 12 $193 −$193 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$117 -659%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $170 −$213 -125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$91 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $313 −$313 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$33 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$117 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$21 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$26 -83%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2? Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$24 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $654 −$654 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$125 -136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$37 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$58 -124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$25 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $836 −$1,190 -142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $453 −$486 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$3,881
other 2% −$2,835
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $85 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $109 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $22 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $202 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $615 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $84 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $230 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 10¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 90¢ $219 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $668 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $195 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $287 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $384 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $152 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $23 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $24 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $24 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $31 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 91¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $18 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-45.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 599 -39.7% -45.5% 36% 12% -19.0%
≤30d 599 -39.7% -45.5% 36% 12% -19.0%
≤90d 599 -39.7% -45.5% 36% 12% -19.0%
all 599 -39.7% -45.5% 36% 12% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover935.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.5% 12% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -50.7% 8% -26.8%
15% -55.5% 6% -33.8%
20% -59.8% 5% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,494.34 · official $6,493.97 (match) · 3500 history records