Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:30:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8325…19cc
sports · 60 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$7,128 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,270 · open −$806
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,859
Realized−$3,270
Unrealized−$806
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses30 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1,301
Open positions1
Markets (closed)59 / 60
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3,255
Trades / day65.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 1 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,443
7 days−$5,346
14 days−$2,759
30 days−$3,270
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $2,695 $2,833 +$137 (+5%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 2¢ 0¢ $831 $25 −$806 (-97%)
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Paris Saint-Germain FC 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Arsenal FC 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 Under 33¢ 0¢ $2,740 $0 −$2,740 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Arsenal FC 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 70¢ 0¢ $606 $0 −$606 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2,405 $0 −$2,405 (-100%)
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 51¢ 0¢ $1,545 $0 −$1,545 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $6,469 $0 −$6,469 (-100%)
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Paraguay 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) South Africa 9¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Arsenal FC leading at halftime? No 32¢ 0¢ $387 $0 −$387 (-100%)
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) Athletic Club 21¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Canada leading at halftime? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Paris Saint-Germain FC 9¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $18,860 +$129 +1%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $933 −$153 -16%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $434 −$134 -31%
Paraguay leading at halftime? Jun 13 $118 +$13 +11%
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $318 +$64 +20%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $110 +$7 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2,584 +$306 +12%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $6,709 −$6,395 -95%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,172 −$483 -41%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $9,405 +$1,446 +15%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $2,202 +$2,223 +101%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,659 +$354 +21%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2,421 −$1,543 -64%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $2,524 −$1,615 -64%
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Jun 13 $110 −$3 -3%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $751 −$606 -81%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,125 −$220 -20%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $105 +$41 +39%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $438 −$11 -3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $103 +$117 +114%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $19 +$9 +51%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1,981 +$58 +3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $0 $0 -97%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $92 −$31 -34%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $7 $0 +7%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $33 −$14 -44%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5,469 +$1,096 +20%
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? May 30 $42 +$8 +20%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $3,449 +$1,266 +37%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 May 30 $2,387 +$295 +12%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $12,993 +$1,803 +14%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $10,357 +$559 +5%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $1,146 +$288 +25%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $3,095 +$4,903 +158%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $22,731 +$2,125 +9%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $21,191 −$10,767 -51%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 30 $4,605 −$20 -0%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $11,451 +$2,840 +25%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $1,019 −$205 -20%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 May 30 $4 +$2 +50%
Arsenal FC leading at halftime? May 30 $387 −$387 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? May 30 $163 −$122 -74%
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 May 23 $1,596 −$805 -50%
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 May 23 $816 +$35 +4%
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 May 23 $374 +$35 +9%
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 May 23 $109 +$3 +3%
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) May 23 $1,194 +$665 +56%
Athletic Club leading at halftime? May 23 $481 −$403 -84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$2,678
other 42% −$6,754
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 1¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 1¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 1¢ $1 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 98¢ $731 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $45 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $19 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $29 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $10 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $19 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $24 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $48 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $8 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $73 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $115 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $3 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $10 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $245 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-29.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -17.4% -25.3% 50% 39% -17.7%
≤30d 59 -22.4% -29.8% 51% 37% -8.8%
≤90d 59 -22.4% -29.8% 51% 37% -8.8%
all 59 -22.4% -29.8% 51% 37% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.8% 37% -8.8%
10% -36.5% 22% -17.5%
15% ← realistic here -42.6% 17% -25.5%
20% -48.3% 12% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,858.74 · official $2,857.93 (match) · 1378 history records