trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +5.6% | -4.4% | 57% | 57% | -5.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +5.9% | -4.1% | 64% | 64% | +9.4% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +12.1% | +1.4% | 71% | 53% | +2.5% |
| all | 18 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 67% | 50% | +2.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.6% | 50% | +2.3% |
| 10% | -9.0% | 33% | -7.5% |
| 15% | -17.8% | 22% | -16.4% |
| 20% | -25.8% | 17% | -24.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | $7,998 | $8,129 | +$130 (+2%) |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | $4,943 | $5,317 | +$374 (+8%) |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 79¢ | 80¢ | $1,816 | $1,854 | +$38 (+2%) |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | $800 | $801 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $59 | $58 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $25 | $24 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $303 | +$91 | +30% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $46 | +$54 | +118% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $301 | +$43 | +14% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $31 | +$19 | +60% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 20 | $102 | −$16 | -16% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $203 | −$137 | -67% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $304 | −$193 | -64% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 02 | $1,499 | +$204 | +14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 27 | $9,584 | +$2,518 | +26% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 14 | $940 | +$45 | +5% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | May 05 | $1,400 | +$42 | +3% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 04 | $50 | +$67 | +134% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 01 | $4,461 | +$525 | +12% |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | Apr 29 | $5,828 | +$89 | +2% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 15 | $120 | −$17 | -14% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Mar 20 | $300 | −$11 | -4% |