Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:00:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8354…6046
crypto · 28 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$116 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses19 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage15d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$96
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $205 +$48 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $203 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$31 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $115 −$110 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$63 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$96 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$38 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $145 −$140 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$50 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$21 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$81 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $101 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $91 +$6 +6%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $91 +$3 +4%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $71 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $303 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $102 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $51 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $51 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $52 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $52 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $52 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $51 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $51 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $51 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -4.4% -13.5% 67% 33% -10.3%
≤30d 28 -2.5% -11.8% 68% 36% -10.2%
≤90d 28 -2.5% -11.8% 68% 36% -10.2%
all 28 -2.5% -11.8% 68% 36% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 36% -10.2%
10% -20.2% 29% -18.8%
15% -27.9% 18% -26.7%
20% -35.0% 7% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 68 history records