Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:06:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8375…6245
crypto · 13 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$130 -62%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$130
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses3 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$130
14 days−$130
30 days−$130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$12 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$18 -74%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$30 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$64 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$129
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down $0 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down $2 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $3 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $30 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-44.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -39.1% -44.9% 23% 23% -65.2%
≤30d 13 -39.1% -44.9% 23% 23% -65.2%
≤90d 13 -39.1% -44.9% 23% 23% -65.2%
all 13 -39.1% -44.9% 23% 23% -65.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.9% 23% -65.2%
10% ← realistic here -50.2% 23% -68.5%
15% -55.0% 15% -71.5%
20% -59.4% 15% -74.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 41 history records