trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 0% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 30% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 29 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 45% | 3% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.4% | 3% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -21.7% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -36.2% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 40¢ | 40¢ | $34 | $34 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 21 | $22 | +$1 | +4% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 21 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 20 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 19 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 19 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 18 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $4 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jul 01 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 01 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%? | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 02 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the elec | May 29 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | May 27 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | May 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | May 24 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | May 23 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL? | May 23 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | May 22 | $15 | −$6 | -37% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 24 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 22? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21? | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | +1% |