Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:06:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x8390…3773
crypto · 1008 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,491 -71%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$380 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$380
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses717 / 291
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1008 / 1008
History coverage6d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day440.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1008 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$136
7 days−$380
14 days−$380
30 days−$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +152%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$298
other 1% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1008 -4.4% -13.5% 71% 27% -14.0%
≤30d 1008 -4.4% -13.5% 71% 27% -14.0%
≤90d 1008 -4.4% -13.5% 71% 27% -14.0%
all 1008 -4.4% -13.5% 71% 27% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover440.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 27% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 25% -22.2%
15% -29.3% 25% -29.7%
20% -36.2% 21% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records