trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 14 | $2,779 | +$402 | +14% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $246 | −$126 | -51% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 13 | $14,580 | +$648 | +4% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $93 | −$93 | -100% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $74 | −$72 | -98% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 13 | $2,751 | +$148 | +5% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 13 | $620 | +$90 | +14% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $49 | +$53 | +109% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $335 | −$335 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 12 | $1,246 | +$112 | +9% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 10 | $520 | −$70 | -14% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 10 | $770 | +$130 | +17% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Jun 10 | $2,952 | +$48 | +2% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 57% | 29% | -6.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 57% | 29% | -6.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 57% | 29% | -6.6% |
| all | 14 | -20.6% | -28.2% | 57% | 29% | -6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -28.2% | 29% | -6.6% |
| 10% | -35.1% | 7% | -15.5% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -41.3% | 7% | -23.7% |
| 20% | -47.1% | 7% | -31.1% |