Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:55:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x83c8…3b6c
sports · 1221 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,238 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,238 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,238
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses730 / 491
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$1,008
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1221 / 1221
Avg bet$62
Trades / day59.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$89
14 days−$801
30 days−$1,474
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 73¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner Team Nemesis 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B REKONIX 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winner Sashi Esport 54¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner MODUS 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winner M80 34¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner M80 41¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move - Game 1 Winner Two Move 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 Winner Nix Team 69¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team NS vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner Stray Team 20¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 35¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A FlyQuest 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 55¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C ex-Zero Tenacity 58¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 93¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs OlyBet SB (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Aurora Young Blood 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner Yakult Brothers 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner HEROIC Academy 34¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B Metizport 58¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner INOX Division 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 54¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team - Game 1 Winner by Owl Team 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $4 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $118 −$30 -25%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $38 +$13 +34%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Pl Jun 09 $5 +$4 +73%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 09 $61 −$3 -4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$4 +74%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $7 −$7 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 07 $19 −$1 -5%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 +$5 +37%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$2 -38%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $10 +$8 +81%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $12 −$12 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $17 −$2 -13%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 07 $6 +$1 +18%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$6 +123%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$3 +50%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $4 $0 +5%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $11 +$2 +15%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$1 +7%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $3 −$1 -42%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 $0 +44%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 06 $14 −$12 -82%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$6 +89%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $1 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$3 +29%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$7 -94%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $4 +$1 +30%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $4 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Pla Jun 06 $7 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$2,368
other 1% +$131
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner SELL Young Ninjas 99¢ $6 40m
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner SELL Pandawa Lima 99¢ $8 40m
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner BUY Pandawa Lima 88¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner BUY Young Ninjas 78¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 73¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner SELL Young Ninjas 99¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $6 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner BUY Young Ninjas 46¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner BUY Young Ninjas 56¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff SELL Overtake 100¢ $8 6h
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Overtake 64¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Marsborne 100¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Marsborne 88¢ $5 9h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 89¢ $4 14h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $4 15h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL KOLESIE 100¢ $8 15h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY KOLESIE 88¢ $7 15h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 43¢ $6 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 54¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 54¢ $9 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 69¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL BIG 78¢ $87 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 44¢ $9 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 45¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 45¢ $32 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Legacy 100¢ $51 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 74¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 74¢ $28 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -9.4% -18.0% 61% 52% -20.1%
≤30d 594 -4.5% -13.6% 58% 49% -12.3%
≤90d 1221 -3.6% -12.8% 60% 51% -11.8%
all 1221 -3.6% -12.8% 60% 51% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 51% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 41% -20.3%
15% -28.7% 32% -28.0%
20% -35.7% 23% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records