Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

83
0x83d8…226d
crypto · 350 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$7 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses244 / 106
Open positions0
Markets (closed)350 / 350
History coverage73d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$22
14 days+$6
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -1.8% -11.1% 80% 42% -11.2%
≤30d 335 -3.4% -12.6% 70% 51% -10.1%
≤90d 350 -3.0% -12.2% 70% 51% -9.0%
all 350 -3.0% -12.2% 70% 51% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 51% -9.0%
10% -20.6% 30% -17.7%
15% -28.3% 12% -25.7%
20% -35.3% 5% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 675 history records