Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:19:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
83 0x83db…ec5b crypto 210 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (179 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$75 (+0%) realized +$75 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate51%107W / 103L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$81per market
Trades / day179.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$328
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (179 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -11.1% -19.5% 51% 42% -11.3%
≤30d 210 -11.1% -19.5% 51% 42% -11.3%
≤90d 210 -11.1% -19.5% 51% 42% -11.3%
all 210 -11.1% -19.5% 51% 42% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover179.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 42% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 34% -19.8%
15% -34.3% 29% -27.5%
20% -40.7% 26% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$57 vs −$62 · ×0.91 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses107 / 103
Open positions0
Markets (closed)210 / 210
History coverage3d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day179.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 210 Trades
no open positions (98 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $53 +$107 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$38 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $53 +$171 +324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$32 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$57 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$28 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$55 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$19 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$31 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $73 +$86 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$73 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $133 −$130 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $93 +$65 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$76 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $104 +$135 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $101 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $138 +$70 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$67 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $103 −$47 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$48 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$52 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $52 −$13 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$95 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $104 +$135 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $84 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $122 +$28 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $121 +$126 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $113 +$62 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$43 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $52 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $53 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $51 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $52 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $11 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $51 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $73 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $52 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $52 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $133 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $52 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $93 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $101 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $104 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $42 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 671 history records